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Europe’s Defence Deficit Is a Deficit of Will

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In the first week of January the American president said, of Greenland, that his country needed it for reasons of security. What struck me was the silence that followed in European capitals, which told me more than any reply could have. “We need Greenland from the standpoint of national security.” — President Donald Trump, January 2026, as reported by the Stockholm-based Institute for Security and Development Policy The island belongs to Denmark, a founding member of NATO, and the man claiming it leads the alliance’s most powerful state. After years of covering summits, I know that diplomats reach for euphemism the way other people reach for an umbrella. Plainness, when it comes, is startling. My argument is a narrow one, and admirers of the West may not enjoy it: Europe’s predicament is not chiefly about money or machinery. It is about political will. Moscow has noticed, and so has Beijing, and so has every middle power watching from the stands. Read full article on Minute Mirror

From Strategic Depth to Strategic Liability: The Collapse of Islamabad–Kabul Ties

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  When Kabul fell in August 2021, Western capitals watched with dread. Islamabad barely hid its satisfaction. American transport planes lifted off from Hamid Karzai International Airport, closing twenty grinding years of occupation, and inside Pakistan’s deep state the mood was one of historic vindication. For decades the country’s security thinking had rested on “strategic depth”: a friendly, pliant government in Kabul that would shut India out of the western flank and quiet a porous border. Then came the photograph, of senior Pakistani intelligence officials sipping tea in the lobby of Kabul’s Serena Hotel days after the takeover. It said what everyone assumed: the new rulers would remember their benefactors. They did not. History is hard on short-sighted victories, and the euphoria soured fast. Pakistan’s original error was misreading the Taliban’s motives. Islamabad had treated them as one obedient proxy, brushing aside Pashtun nationalism and the binding force of global jihad....

The Hierarchy of Historical Grief: Re-evaluating the Nakba in the Shadow of the Holocaust

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  Victors write history, people say. That’s too tidy. What the powerful actually do is curate memory, deciding which wounds get monuments and which get footnotes. Look at how modern global morality is built and the lopsidedness is hard to miss: some collective traumas are held up as absolute, universal measures of human depravity, while others get filed away as local quarrels over land. Read full article Minute Mirror  Listen on Spotify

US midterms put Trump’s Iran war and Pakistan’s mediation under pressure

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  With US midterms on November 3 and polls pointing to a Democratic House, a politically wounded Donald Trump may have to recalibrate the eight-month war on Iran, a shift that will test Pakistan’s mediating role in the region. The electoral calculus is unkind to the White House. The Cook Political Report’s ratings of October 9 projected Democratic gains of nine to 19 House seats, putting the party at 224 to 234 seats, with 21 districts still rated toss-ups. Silver Bulletin’s FLIPR model, as reported by Newsweek, gave Democrats a 92.9 per cent chance of taking the House and 73.9 per cent in the Senate, while Kalshi traders priced the House at 90 per cent and the Senate at 63 on October 16. The Senate is the harder reach, since six of Cook’s seven Senate toss-ups, among them Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio and Texas, sit in Republican hands. Originally published on Minute Mirror

The Makkah Pact and the New Middle Eastern Axis

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  If the Mecca Pact produces fuel shipments and investment, it will be popular. The difference will be determined not by rhetoric in Mecca or Ankara, but by policy choices in Islamabad — choices about budgets, governance, and the limits of military engagement abroad. Until that work is done, the Mecca pact will only serve to highlight the glaring mismatch between Islamabad’s external security posture and its internal economic decay. The immediate coverage of the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement was theatrical. Headlines raced to christen a new “Muslim NATO”, pundits queued to pronounce a seismic realignment, and social feeds treated the signing as if it were a shortcut to global relevance. That is wishful thinking. A formal trilateral security architecture between Riyadh, Ankara and Islamabad is not a fast track to power projection. For Pakistan, the pact is a high-stakes gamble that will test the limits of strategic autonomy and expose the gap between diplomatic ambition and fiscal ...

How ‘unrestricted warfare’ is reshaping our daily lives

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  Summary A foothold in a water utility or a power network is a switch that someone else can flip in a crisis, with panic as the intended result, and no army has to cross a border to do it. This is the legal and public-relations trap that strategists call “lawfare,” and it can paralyze a militarily superior power without a single shot. They can be pieces of the same strategy, aimed at reshaping the balance of global power from the ground up. AI Generated Summary Pick up your phone. Glance at the thermostat on the wall, or the price of tomatoes at the supermarket. Ordinary things, you would say: the small conveniences of a connected age. To people who think about power for a living, they look like terrain. In 1999, two colonels in China’s People’s Liberation Army, Qiao Liang and Wang Xiangsui, published a slim and radical treatise called Chāoxiànzhàn , later translated into English as Unrestricted Warfare . Their argument unsettled readers then and looks uncomfortably prescient now....

THE PRINCIPLE OF UNIVERSAL REPRESENTATION VERSUS HOST-STATE SOVEREIGNTY: AN ESSAY ON THE LEGALITY OF UNITED STATES VISA EXCLUSIONS AT THE UNITED NATIONS HEADQUARTERS

  THE PRINCIPLE OF UNIVERSAL REPRESENTATION VERSUS HOST-STATE SOVEREIGNTY: AN ESSAY ON THE LEGALITY OF UNITED STATES VISA EXCLUSIONS AT THE UNITED NATIONS HEADQUARTERS A Research Essay Submitted for Academic Peer-Review and Publication Evaluation By: Nida Amir Afridi Abstract This academic paper analyzes the legal and geopolitical conflict between the United States' domestic border enforcement authority and its treaty obligations under the United Nations Headquarters Agreement regarding visa exclusions for sovereign member states. The study evaluates historical and post-2022 diplomatic exclusions, invalidates relocation proposals, and proposes institutional remedies including treaty arbitration and International Court of Justice advisory opinions. By evaluating these dimensions, the manuscript demonstrates how unilateral administrative actions challenge the foundational principle of sovereign equality within global governance. Introduction and Theoretical Framework ...

A Note on Foreign Policy of Pakistan Since the End of the Cold War: Strategic Realignments, Structural Constraints, and Geoeconomic Transitions

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  A Note on Foreign Policy of Pakistan Since the End of the Cold War: Strategic Realignments, Structural Constraints, and Geoeconomic Transitions Abstract This study explores how Pakistan’s foreign policy shifted after the Cold War, moving from bipolarity to American unipolar dominance and now toward a multipolar order. Four turning points stand out: the sanctions and isolation of the 1990s, the post‑9/11 alliance with Washington, the consolidation of ties with China through the China‑Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), and the current effort to reframe policy around geoeconomics. External shocks repeatedly forced tactical adjustments. Yet one concern remained constant: keeping pace with India’s military and diplomatic strength (Sattar, 2019). Introduction and Theoretical Framework The collapse of the Soviet Union left Pakistan suddenly exposed. For decades, Islamabad had leveraged its geography to secure Western patronage as a frontline state against communism. With that ri...